The 24-Hour Shock: How Adyen's Valuation Dropped by $20 Billion Overnight

Monday, 21/08/2023 | 09:48 GMT by Damian Chmiel
  • Adyen's shares fell nearly 40% in one day.
  • The company has not been this cheap since April 2020.
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Finance Magnates

After the Amsterdam-listed payment company, Adyen (EURONEXT: ADYEN) published financial results last week that disappointed investor expectations, its stock took a significant hit. The depreciation was so severe that the fintech's valuation shrank $20 billion in just one day. In the new week, the declines continue, with share prices falling back to the pandemic lows of April 2020.

Adyen Reports Slowest Revenue Growth in Its History

At first glance, Adyen's report might seem optimistic. The company increased processed volumes 23% year-on-year and increased its net profit €130 million to €739 million. However, analysts and investors were alarmed by a five-fold decline in revenue, which contracted from €3.95 billion to €854 million in the first half of 2023.

The market's reaction was immediate. Adyen shares plummeted nearly 39% on the Amsterdam stock exchange on Thursday, reducing the company's valuation by €18 billion ($20 billion). On Friday, the stock lost another 3%; on Monday, it declined 5%, touching the lowest levels since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic.

Adyen stock price crash. Source: Yahoo Finance
Adyen stock price crash. Source: Yahoo Finance

Until now, investors have regarded Adyen as a growth stock, consistently reporting an average revenue growth of 26% every six months since its stock market debut over five years ago. This momentum is now clearly disrupted, raising concerns that competitors promoting aggressively cheaper services may negatively impact Adyen's future.

Consumer Issues and Competitive Challenges

When Adyen went public in 2018, many viewed it as a serious competitor to the American payment giant, PayPal. The company, which processes payments for services like Netflix, Spotify, and Meta, serves as a payment gateway and processor, collecting small fees from each transaction.

According to company representatives, many customers began to cut their spending due to high inflation and economic pressure. Fewer transactions by consumers mean less revenue for Adyen.

Adyen's situation is further complicated by competitors offering lower rates than the Amsterdam-based company. Merchants prefer to use smaller, local payment service providers, negotiating more attractive rates with them.

However, Adyen's CEO, Pieter van der Does, has remained optimistic and has tried to reassure investors. He insisted that his company is not downsizing but simply growing slightly slower.

Fintechs in Distress

Globally, fintechs have little reason to cheer. This is evident in Europe, where a significant drop in funding was recorded in the first half of 2023. In the second half of 2022, fintech funding reached $63.2 billion across 2,885 transactions. However, the first half of 2023 saw a decline to $52.4 billion in 2,153 transactions, according to the Pulse of Fintech report by KPMG. These figures indicate a substantial decrease in overall funding and transaction volume.

KPMG

Another report released in early July by Innovative Finance has confirmed this. By their calculations, total capital investments amounting to $27.3 billion across 1,714 transactions represent a drop of 14% compared to the second half of 2022. Globally, funding in the financial technology sector has fallen 30% this year to $95 billion.

After the Amsterdam-listed payment company, Adyen (EURONEXT: ADYEN) published financial results last week that disappointed investor expectations, its stock took a significant hit. The depreciation was so severe that the fintech's valuation shrank $20 billion in just one day. In the new week, the declines continue, with share prices falling back to the pandemic lows of April 2020.

Adyen Reports Slowest Revenue Growth in Its History

At first glance, Adyen's report might seem optimistic. The company increased processed volumes 23% year-on-year and increased its net profit €130 million to €739 million. However, analysts and investors were alarmed by a five-fold decline in revenue, which contracted from €3.95 billion to €854 million in the first half of 2023.

The market's reaction was immediate. Adyen shares plummeted nearly 39% on the Amsterdam stock exchange on Thursday, reducing the company's valuation by €18 billion ($20 billion). On Friday, the stock lost another 3%; on Monday, it declined 5%, touching the lowest levels since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic.

Adyen stock price crash. Source: Yahoo Finance
Adyen stock price crash. Source: Yahoo Finance

Until now, investors have regarded Adyen as a growth stock, consistently reporting an average revenue growth of 26% every six months since its stock market debut over five years ago. This momentum is now clearly disrupted, raising concerns that competitors promoting aggressively cheaper services may negatively impact Adyen's future.

Consumer Issues and Competitive Challenges

When Adyen went public in 2018, many viewed it as a serious competitor to the American payment giant, PayPal. The company, which processes payments for services like Netflix, Spotify, and Meta, serves as a payment gateway and processor, collecting small fees from each transaction.

According to company representatives, many customers began to cut their spending due to high inflation and economic pressure. Fewer transactions by consumers mean less revenue for Adyen.

Adyen's situation is further complicated by competitors offering lower rates than the Amsterdam-based company. Merchants prefer to use smaller, local payment service providers, negotiating more attractive rates with them.

However, Adyen's CEO, Pieter van der Does, has remained optimistic and has tried to reassure investors. He insisted that his company is not downsizing but simply growing slightly slower.

Fintechs in Distress

Globally, fintechs have little reason to cheer. This is evident in Europe, where a significant drop in funding was recorded in the first half of 2023. In the second half of 2022, fintech funding reached $63.2 billion across 2,885 transactions. However, the first half of 2023 saw a decline to $52.4 billion in 2,153 transactions, according to the Pulse of Fintech report by KPMG. These figures indicate a substantial decrease in overall funding and transaction volume.

KPMG

Another report released in early July by Innovative Finance has confirmed this. By their calculations, total capital investments amounting to $27.3 billion across 1,714 transactions represent a drop of 14% compared to the second half of 2022. Globally, funding in the financial technology sector has fallen 30% this year to $95 billion.

About the Author: Damian Chmiel
Damian Chmiel
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Damian's adventure with financial markets began at the Cracow University of Economics, where he obtained his MA in finance and accounting. Starting from the retail trader perspective, he collaborated with brokerage houses and financial portals in Poland as an independent editor and content manager. His adventure with Finance Magnates began in 2016, where he is working as a business intelligence analyst.

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