Traders now view recession as a greater risk than inflation.
Despite this shift, their confidence has risen, with 78% feeling optimistic about the markets.
While
inflation was the primary investors’ concern six months ago, the fear of a
looming recession has now taken the spotlight. Interestingly, this shift has
not dampened investor confidence. Rather, it has grown, with 78% of respondents
expressing a positive outlook on the markets. Could it be that the fear of
recession is not discouraging investors from putting their capital on the
market scale?
Recession, Not Inflation,
Traders’ Biggest Concern
A recent
study by the trading and investment platform eToro reveals a notable shift in
retail investor sentiment. eToro's Retail Investor Beat surveyed 10,000 retail
investors across 13 countries. The data shows that 22% of respondents now
consider a potential recession as the most significant risk to their
investments, which up from 13% six months ago.
Conversely,
concerns about inflation have decreased from 20% to 13% over the same period.
This change suggests that investors are adapting their strategies and
expectations in response to evolving economic conditions.
However, as
Maciej Wojciechowski, the Managing Director for Europe at Onequity, believes,
this is not the first time investors have been concerned about recession and
inflation levels.
“Over the
last three years, the global economy has frequently been stuck in recession, as
evidenced by the decline in GDP for at least two consecutive quarters. Interestingly,
this has not significantly impacted the volume and number of transactions in
the market,” added Wojciechowski.
Data from eToro seems to confirm his statement. Despite the
increased focus on recession risks, investor confidence metrics have not only not fallen but improved
across the board. The study found that 78% of retail investors are optimistic
about their investment portfolios, which is a jump from 71% seen in June. eToro is leveraging this in Europe, where it has just obtained a Cypriot cryptocurrency license.
“Retail
investors are no longer laser-focused on inflation and are clearly feeling
optimistic about central banks’ ability to tame price rises without many more
interest rate hikes,” said Ben Laidler, the Global Markets Strategist at eToro.
“Whilst concerns have now shifted towards the recession that these interest rate
hikes might cause, this is not weighing down sentiment to the same degree that
inflation was.”
Investment Contributions
and Sector Preferences
Additionally,
confidence in income and living standards has risen from 65% to 70%. Dutch
retail investors are the most optimistic, with a confidence score of 91%, while
Spanish investors are the least optimistic at 71%.
“Retail
investors are feeling a lot rosier about their investments than they were three
months ago, they are generally quite bullish about the remainder of 2023, and
the consensus amongst this group is still for a sustained bull market in the
first half of next year. This would extend the 23% global stocks rally we have
already seen since the October 2022 low,” added Laidler.
The rising
confidence is translating into more aggressive investment strategies. One-third
of respondents plan to increase their investment contributions in the next
quarter, outnumbering those who plan to scale back (7%) by more than four to
one. The technology sector is expected to benefit the most from this bullish
sentiment, followed by financial services, real estate, and energy sectors.
“It's worth
noting that history has shown patient investors who remain committed to their
investments can still accumulate returns even during economic downturns. A
panic-driven approach among retail investors may, paradoxically, bring
significant benefits to those who are able to keep a cool head,” concluded
Wojciechowski.
The eToro
Retail Investor Beat was conducted between 18-29 August 2023 by research
company Opinium. It included 10,000 retail investors from 13 countries across
three continents. Respondents were either self-directed or advised and held at
least one investment product.
In a distinct research conducted by eToro, it was found that 41% of 10,000 retail investors from 13 different nations are strongly against the use of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies like ChatGPT for portfolio management. Meanwhile, a study from FOREX.com reveals that retail traders most frequently close their profitable positions during morning hours.
While
inflation was the primary investors’ concern six months ago, the fear of a
looming recession has now taken the spotlight. Interestingly, this shift has
not dampened investor confidence. Rather, it has grown, with 78% of respondents
expressing a positive outlook on the markets. Could it be that the fear of
recession is not discouraging investors from putting their capital on the
market scale?
Recession, Not Inflation,
Traders’ Biggest Concern
A recent
study by the trading and investment platform eToro reveals a notable shift in
retail investor sentiment. eToro's Retail Investor Beat surveyed 10,000 retail
investors across 13 countries. The data shows that 22% of respondents now
consider a potential recession as the most significant risk to their
investments, which up from 13% six months ago.
Conversely,
concerns about inflation have decreased from 20% to 13% over the same period.
This change suggests that investors are adapting their strategies and
expectations in response to evolving economic conditions.
However, as
Maciej Wojciechowski, the Managing Director for Europe at Onequity, believes,
this is not the first time investors have been concerned about recession and
inflation levels.
“Over the
last three years, the global economy has frequently been stuck in recession, as
evidenced by the decline in GDP for at least two consecutive quarters. Interestingly,
this has not significantly impacted the volume and number of transactions in
the market,” added Wojciechowski.
Data from eToro seems to confirm his statement. Despite the
increased focus on recession risks, investor confidence metrics have not only not fallen but improved
across the board. The study found that 78% of retail investors are optimistic
about their investment portfolios, which is a jump from 71% seen in June. eToro is leveraging this in Europe, where it has just obtained a Cypriot cryptocurrency license.
“Retail
investors are no longer laser-focused on inflation and are clearly feeling
optimistic about central banks’ ability to tame price rises without many more
interest rate hikes,” said Ben Laidler, the Global Markets Strategist at eToro.
“Whilst concerns have now shifted towards the recession that these interest rate
hikes might cause, this is not weighing down sentiment to the same degree that
inflation was.”
Investment Contributions
and Sector Preferences
Additionally,
confidence in income and living standards has risen from 65% to 70%. Dutch
retail investors are the most optimistic, with a confidence score of 91%, while
Spanish investors are the least optimistic at 71%.
“Retail
investors are feeling a lot rosier about their investments than they were three
months ago, they are generally quite bullish about the remainder of 2023, and
the consensus amongst this group is still for a sustained bull market in the
first half of next year. This would extend the 23% global stocks rally we have
already seen since the October 2022 low,” added Laidler.
The rising
confidence is translating into more aggressive investment strategies. One-third
of respondents plan to increase their investment contributions in the next
quarter, outnumbering those who plan to scale back (7%) by more than four to
one. The technology sector is expected to benefit the most from this bullish
sentiment, followed by financial services, real estate, and energy sectors.
“It's worth
noting that history has shown patient investors who remain committed to their
investments can still accumulate returns even during economic downturns. A
panic-driven approach among retail investors may, paradoxically, bring
significant benefits to those who are able to keep a cool head,” concluded
Wojciechowski.
The eToro
Retail Investor Beat was conducted between 18-29 August 2023 by research
company Opinium. It included 10,000 retail investors from 13 countries across
three continents. Respondents were either self-directed or advised and held at
least one investment product.
In a distinct research conducted by eToro, it was found that 41% of 10,000 retail investors from 13 different nations are strongly against the use of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies like ChatGPT for portfolio management. Meanwhile, a study from FOREX.com reveals that retail traders most frequently close their profitable positions during morning hours.
Damian's adventure with financial markets began at the Cracow University of Economics, where he obtained his MA in finance and accounting. Starting from the retail trader perspective, he collaborated with brokerage houses and financial portals in Poland as an independent editor and content manager. His adventure with Finance Magnates began in 2016, where he is working as a business intelligence analyst.
FM's Editor-in-Chief Yam Yehoshua on how the newsroom evaluates stories.
FM's Editor-in-Chief Yam Yehoshua on how the newsroom evaluates stories.
FM's Editor-in-Chief Yam Yehoshua on how the newsroom evaluates stories.
FM's Editor-in-Chief Yam Yehoshua on how the newsroom evaluates stories.
Matthew Smith, Group CEO at EC Markets, speaking at FMLS:24
Matthew Smith, Group CEO at EC Markets, speaking at FMLS:24
Matthew Smith, Group CEO at EC Markets, speaking at FMLS:24
Matthew Smith, Group CEO at EC Markets, speaking at FMLS:24
Finance Magnates Annual Awards 2024 | FM Awards 2024 Highlights
Finance Magnates Annual Awards 2024 | FM Awards 2024 Highlights
🎥Catch the best moments from the Finance Magnates Annual Awards Gala Dinner!
An evening where top names in finance came together to celebrate achievements, enjoy live music, and connect over a memorable dinner. Watch the highlights and feel the energy of our first gala in Cyprus!
Congratulations to all the winners for their dedication to excellence and leadership in the financial industry, including XM, Trading PRO, FP Markets, Deriv, FxPro, LATAM, Headway, ATFX, FBS, AMEGA, EC Markets, Axi
For more information about the 1st Finance Magnates Annual Awards, visit https://bit.ly/3Zb7wNz
#FinanceMagnatesGala #IndustryExcellence #GalaHighlights #FinanceMagnatesAnnualAwards #FinanceMagnatesAwards #CelebratingSuccess #FinanceCommunity
🎥Catch the best moments from the Finance Magnates Annual Awards Gala Dinner!
An evening where top names in finance came together to celebrate achievements, enjoy live music, and connect over a memorable dinner. Watch the highlights and feel the energy of our first gala in Cyprus!
Congratulations to all the winners for their dedication to excellence and leadership in the financial industry, including XM, Trading PRO, FP Markets, Deriv, FxPro, LATAM, Headway, ATFX, FBS, AMEGA, EC Markets, Axi
For more information about the 1st Finance Magnates Annual Awards, visit https://bit.ly/3Zb7wNz
#FinanceMagnatesGala #IndustryExcellence #GalaHighlights #FinanceMagnatesAnnualAwards #FinanceMagnatesAwards #CelebratingSuccess #FinanceCommunity
FMLS:24 | Shaping the Next Era of Financial Evolution
FMLS:24 | Shaping the Next Era of Financial Evolution
Welcome to FMLS:24 – the premier event where influential brands and leaders in trading, payments, fintech, and digital assets come together!
Join over 2,500 industry professionals, engage with 150+ expert speakers, and discover endless opportunities with 70+ top exhibitors. FMLS:24 is where senior executives and decision-makers gather to close deals, forge new partnerships, and strengthen connections with long-term clients.
Whether you’re in finance, technology, or payments, this summit is your gateway to future growth, meaningful collaborations, and industry-leading insights.
👉 Don't miss out – secure your ticket now at https://events.financemagnates.com/ZQEYy0?utm_source=youtube&utm_campaign=fmls24-awareness&utm_medium=video&RefId=MLS%3A24+Video+Promo
#fmls #fmls24 #fmevents #financemagnates #forex #payments #crypto #events #london #fintech #ai #generativeai #technology #onlinetrading #forex #investing #investors #tech
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow FMevents across our social media platforms for news, insights, and event updates. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/financemagnates-events/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FinanceMagnatesEvents
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/fmevents_official
🐦 Twitter: https://twitter.com/F_M_events
🎥 TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fmevents_official
▶️ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@FinanceMagnates_official
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage. Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!
Welcome to FMLS:24 – the premier event where influential brands and leaders in trading, payments, fintech, and digital assets come together!
Join over 2,500 industry professionals, engage with 150+ expert speakers, and discover endless opportunities with 70+ top exhibitors. FMLS:24 is where senior executives and decision-makers gather to close deals, forge new partnerships, and strengthen connections with long-term clients.
Whether you’re in finance, technology, or payments, this summit is your gateway to future growth, meaningful collaborations, and industry-leading insights.
👉 Don't miss out – secure your ticket now at https://events.financemagnates.com/ZQEYy0?utm_source=youtube&utm_campaign=fmls24-awareness&utm_medium=video&RefId=MLS%3A24+Video+Promo
#fmls #fmls24 #fmevents #financemagnates #forex #payments #crypto #events #london #fintech #ai #generativeai #technology #onlinetrading #forex #investing #investors #tech
📣 Stay updated with the latest in finance and trading!
Follow FMevents across our social media platforms for news, insights, and event updates. Connect with us today:
🔗 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/financemagnates-events/
👍 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FinanceMagnatesEvents
📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/fmevents_official
🐦 Twitter: https://twitter.com/F_M_events
🎥 TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@fmevents_official
▶️ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@FinanceMagnates_official
Don't miss out on our latest videos, interviews, and event coverage. Subscribe to our YouTube channel for more!