Pound's Biggest Gain Since 2009 Signals `Brexit' Anxiety Easing

Easing anxiety over Britain’s potential exit from the European Union may be complemented next week by signs of a stronger U.K. economy, supporting the pound further after its best week since 2009 against the dollar.

Britain’s currency recovered from its steepest weekly decline versus the greenback in more than seven years as a report Friday showed wage-growth in the U.S. unexpectedly fell last month, fueling doubts that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates anytime soon. A gauge of pound Volatility Volatility In finance, volatility refers to the amount of change in the rate of a financial instrument, such as commodities, currencies, or stocks, over a given time period. Essentially, volatility describes the nature of an instrument’s fluctuation; a highly volatile security equates to large fluctuations in price, and a low volatile security equates to timid fluctuations in price. Volatility is an important statistical indicator used by financial traders to assist them in developing trading systems. Trad In finance, volatility refers to the amount of change in the rate of a financial instrument, such as commodities, currencies, or stocks, over a given time period. Essentially, volatility describes the nature of an instrument’s fluctuation; a highly volatile security equates to large fluctuations in price, and a low volatile security equates to timid fluctuations in price. Volatility is an important statistical indicator used by financial traders to assist them in developing trading systems. Trad Read this Term versus the dollar this week retreated from its highest since 2011. Reports on March 9 will show U.K. industrial production and manufacturing rebounded in January, according to Bloomberg surveys of economists.

The U.K. currency gained for a second week versus the euro, strengthening the most since October. While the prospect of the Bank of England lifting its own borrowing costs has also diminished in recent months, investors see the European Central Bank set to inject more currency-debasing stimulus to the euro-area economy when policy makers met March 10.

“When people settled down and took a look at the market they thought, OK maybe this is a bit overextended given the fact that we still have an enormous amount of time,” said Peter Rosenstreich, head of market strategy at Swissquote Bank SA in Gland, Switzerland. “In the past two weeks there was a crescendo for near-term hype when it comes to ‘Brexit Brexit Brexit stands for British Exit, or in reference to the United Kingdom’s decision to formally leave the European Union (EU) as declared in a June 23, 2016 referendum. In a more immediate sense, a tight vote and unexpected result helped drive British pound (GBP) to lows that had not been seen in decades.The day following the referendum, former Prime Minister David Cameron resigned from office where he was replaced by Theresa May, who later resigned from office on June 7th, 2019. Active Prime Minis Brexit stands for British Exit, or in reference to the United Kingdom’s decision to formally leave the European Union (EU) as declared in a June 23, 2016 referendum. In a more immediate sense, a tight vote and unexpected result helped drive British pound (GBP) to lows that had not been seen in decades.The day following the referendum, former Prime Minister David Cameron resigned from office where he was replaced by Theresa May, who later resigned from office on June 7th, 2019. Active Prime Minis Read this Term,’ and it solidified itself on traders’ mental map and it became very real.”

Sterling gained 2.6 percent this week to $1.4233 as of 5:26 p.m. London time on Friday, the biggest increase since October 2009. Britain’s currency strengthened 1.9 percent to 77.31 pence per euro, the biggest advance since the period ended Oct. 23.

Six-month implied volatility for the pound versus the dollar, a measure of price swings based on options, dropped to 12.84 percent on Friday. It has fallen from 13.64 percent reached Feb. 24, the highest since September 2011 based on closing prices.

U.K. government bonds dropped this week, with the 10-year gilt yield climbing nine basis points, or 0.09 percentage point, to 1.48 percent.

To contact the reporter on this story: Lukanyo Mnyanda in Edinburgh at lmnyanda@bloomberg.net. To contact the editors responsible for this story: David Goodman at dgoodman28@bloomberg.net, Todd White, Keith Jenkins

By: Lukanyo Mnyanda

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